Monday, February 28, 2011

PPP Poll: Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker Couldn't Win Election Today

Gov. Scott Walker has seen his popularity take a big hit in Wisconsin as he continues his fight to take away workers rights. His views are so extreme that we're even beginning to see some of the Republicans in the state Senate begin to wobble in their support of his union busting legislation. Walker likes to dismiss the hundreds of thousands of people who have been protesting outside the state Capitol in Wisconsin by claiming they're all from out of state. While anyone who has actually followed the debate realizes these claims are false, a new poll released by PPP confirms that Walker has become unpopular in his state and couldn't win re-election if voters went to the polls today.

When polling a rematch between Walker and the Democratic candidate he defeated in the last election, Democrat Tom Barrett emerged victorious over Scott Walker by a a 52-45 margin. There is also a fair amount of evidence that this swing in voting is directly related to his union busting agenda. In November, voters living in union households supported Barrett by a 14 point margin. That's a big margin, but still shows how a sizable number of Union households originally supported the governor. After Walker has tried to take their rights away, however, people living in union households would now vote for Barrett by a 31 point margin.

Walker's unpopularity isn't just among union households either. As Tom Jensen from PPP points out, the polling also suggests that he's actually losing support among a large number of Republicans as well.
It's actually Republicans, more so than Democrats or independents, whose shifting away from Walker would allow Barrett to win a rematch if there was one today. Only 3% of the Republicans we surveyed said they voted for Barrett last fall but now 10% say they would if they could do it over again. That's an instance of Republican union voters who might have voted for the GOP based on social issues or something else last fall trending back toward Democrats because they're putting pocketbook concerns back at the forefront and see their party as at odds with them on those because of what's happened in the last month.
What's also very noteworthy is that throughout the 2010 campaign we frequently heard about how Democrats simply weren't as motivated to get out to the polls as Republicans. Walker's attack on workers rights, however, has reinvigorated the labor community. Not only have there been literally hundreds of thousands of people who have made their way to the Wisconsin Capitol over the last couple of weeks, but there have been solidarity rallies all across the country. These crowds are "fired up and ready to go" and that has the potential to re-energize the Democrats as we move forward.

What this all means is that Scott Walker has not only caused his popularity to plumet, but could have also made life more difficult for his fellow Republicans.

1 comment:

  1. Once a boot licking crook, like Walker, exposes himself its hard to get re-elected.